Marble Game

Marble Game

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  • So we once we draw a marble without looking and if they are the same we win?
  • Sure how do you play ?
  • So if I pick 2 marbles out of the 5 I get 2/3 times the 1/2 chance I will end up with 1/3
  • Okay so there is 2 bags called Bag A and Bag B And Bag A contains one red marble one blue marble and one green marble. While Bag B contains one red and one blue
  • Hey want to play a marble game?
  • Yes, So theoreticaly the probability  we would win is at 1/3
  • yeah we thought it would have been 10/30 or 1/3 but we got 9/30 or 3/10
  • Ok ready to play
  • Turns out it took us longer to win now that we actually did it but we were close to our probability
  • Its different because our theoretical probabilty is what should have happened but once we did experimental we got what actually occured.
  • This is because it's at random.
  • Is there a better chance I would win in this game or in the other game?
  • Sure
  • How about a new game?
  • This time we'll play with a spinner. This is how we'll play one of us will spin the spinner if it lands on gold then you win.
  • There is a greater chance you will win with the spinner because it's a 4/9 chance while the bag game is a 3/9 chance and 4/9 is greater.
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