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  • We need to assemble a task team to investigate the outbreak.
  • Novel respiratory pathogenOutbreak response team
  • Number of cases? Number of deaths?
  • Public health specialist
  • Who is at risk for severe disease?
  • District Health office
  • IPC nurse
  • Medical doctor
  • Mayor
  • Gleiten: 2
  • Quantitative Study Design What do we know?Respiratory pathogen - novel coronavirus identifiedExisting knowledge about this family of viruses?Possible effective IPC measures?What do we need to find out?Common symptoms ?spectrum of disease severityWho is at risk for severe disease?
  • A quantitative study should give us the information we need to respond effectively.
  • Gleiten: 3
  • The preliminary results show mostly mild disease.
  • Initial study findings: Case definition: fever; cough; sore throat; loss of smell or taste; muscle pains; shortness of breathRisk factors for severe disease: medical co-morbiditieselderlyHIV-infected - poor control
  • Severe
  • Non-severe
  • Most cases do not require hospital admission. The severe cases are those with co-existing medical conditions.
  • Mayor
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