We need to assemble a task team to investigate the outbreak.
Novel respiratory pathogenOutbreak response team
Number of cases? Number of deaths?
Public health specialist
Who is at risk for severe disease?
District Health office
IPC nurse
Medical doctor
Mayor
Slide: 2
Quantitative Study Design What do we know?Respiratory pathogen - novel coronavirus identifiedExisting knowledge about this family of viruses?Possible effective IPC measures?What do we need to find out?Common symptoms ?spectrum of disease severityWho is at risk for severe disease?
A quantitative study should give us the information we need to respond effectively.
Slide: 3
The preliminary results show mostly mild disease.
Initial study findings: Case definition: fever; cough; sore throat; loss of smell or taste; muscle pains; shortness of breathRisk factors for severe disease: medical co-morbiditieselderlyHIV-infected - poor control
Severe
Non-severe
Most cases do not require hospital admission. The severe cases are those with co-existing medical conditions.
Mayor
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